Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries 1 Jennifer L. Chunn, Adrian E. Raftery, and Patrick Gerland Working Paper no. 105 Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences University of Washin

Source URL: www.csss.washington.edu

Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis by Peter D. Hoff, Adrian E. Raftery and Mark S. Handcock TECHNICAL REPORT No. 399

Source URL: www.stat.washington.edu

The United Nations Probabilistic Population Projections: An Introduction to Demographic Forecasting with Uncertainty LEONTINE ALKEMA, PATRICK GERLAND, ADRIAN RAFTERY, AND JOHN WILMOTH PREVIEW The United Nations publishe

Source URL: www.stat.washington.edu

2015 WINER LECTURE SERIES   Emily Smith-Greenaway, Assistant Professor, SOCIOLOGY - University of Southern California “Death and Desirability:Retrospective Reporting of Unintended Pregnancy after a Child

Source URL: www.cdasa.socsci.uci.edu

• Jessica Utts
• Parapsychologists
• Statistics
• Adrian Raftery

ONLINE RESOURCE 1 for “Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries” Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, Fran¸cois Pelletier, Thomas Buettner, Gerhard K.

Source URL: esa.un.org

• Demography
• Population
• Curves
• Fertility
• Rates
• Total fertility rate
• Logistic function

Uncertainty in numerical weather forecasting via ensembles of initializations Yulia Gel, University of Washington. Joint work with Adrian Raftery and Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington

Source URL: www2.mmm.ucar.edu

• Statistical forecasting
• Climate modeling
• Weather forecasting
• Weather prediction
• Ensemble forecasting
• Numerical weather prediction
• MM5
• Forecasting
• Meteorology
• Data assimilation
• Atmospheric model

Including Migration Uncertainty in Probabilistic Population Projections ˇ Jonathan J. Azose, Adrian E. Raftery, and Hana Sevˇc´ıkov´a University of Washington Probabilistic migration versus determinstic migration:

Source URL: www.stat.washington.edu

• Demography
• Human geography
• Population
• Human migration
• Demographic economics
• Anthropology
• Net migration rate
• Bird migration

ONLINE RESOURCE 1 for “Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries” Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, Fran¸cois Pelletier, Thomas Buettner, Gerhard K.

Source URL: esa.un.org

Estimating the Integrated Likelihood via Posterior Simulation Using the Harmonic Mean Identity Adrian E. Raftery University of Washington Michael A. Newton

Source URL: www.csss.washington.edu

Bayesian Inference for Color Image Quantization via Model-Based Clustering Trees by Fionn Murtagh, Adrian E. Raftery, Jean-Luc Starck

Source URL: www.stat.washington.edu