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 Date: 2015-02-19 16:51:00Decision theory Utility Statistical theory Ambiguity aversion Bayesian inference Expected utility hypothesis Bayesian probability Ellsberg paradox Kullback–Leibler divergence Statistics Game theory Bayesian statistics |
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SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY, CONFIDENCE, AND BAYESIAN UPDATING Igor Kopylov∗ Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences, and Department of Economics, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697