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introduction By ratiocination, I mean computation. —Thomas Hobbes, 1588–1679 If I had to bet on the best long-term predictor of good judgment among [a group of political and economic forecasters], it would be their
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Document Date: 2015-04-18 05:48:21
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Company
Fannie Mae /
CIT Group /
MasterCard /
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Long-Term Capital Management /
Sallie Mae /
Providian Financial /
MBNA /
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Event
Natural Disaster /
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IndustryTerm
computational device /
computer technology /
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investment bank /
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Organization
Information Chapter /
Analysis and Judgment Chapter /
Uncertainty Chapter /
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Person
Thomas Hobbes /
Judea Pearl /
Fischer Black /
Philip Tetlock /
Nicholas Taleb /
David Shaw /
Benoit Mandelbrot /
Benjamin Graham /
Marvin Minsky /
Herbert Simon /
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practicing analyst /
Wall Street analyst /
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Technology
computer technology /
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SocialTag
Actuarial science
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Decision theory
Technical analysis
Volatility
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Risk
The Black Swan
Quantitative analyst
Mathematical finance