Culture wars, voting, and polarization: divisions and unities in modern American politics Andrew Gelman, Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University Red state vs. blue state. Gun-own

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Politics
• Andrew Gelman
• Polarization
• Red states and blue states
• Democratic Party
• Republican Party
• Conservatism in the United States
• Culture war
• Politics of the United States
• Political parties in the United States
• Terminology

Stan: A platform for Bayesian inference Andrew Gelman, Bob Carpenter, Matt Hoffman, Daniel Lee, Ben Goodrich, Michael Betancourt, Marcus Brubaker, Jiqiang Guo, Peter Li, and Allen Riddell Department of Statistics, Columb

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Statistical forecasting
• Statistical inference
• Statistical theory
• Statistics
• Bayesian statistics
• Bayesian inference

History Marky’s was founded 28 years ago by Mark Zaslavsky and Mark Gelman, 2 Russian immigrants, to satisfy a need in the Florida market for international specialty gourmet foods. The company began by introducing Smo

Source URL: www.amchamchile.cl

• Russian cuisine
• Caviar
• French cuisine
• Kazakhstani cuisine
• Gastronomy
• Sysco
• Gourmet
• Sturgeon
• Food and drink
• Roe
• Iranian cuisine

De la beauté, du sexe et du pouvoir : Les difficultés de l’estimation des petit effets Andrew Gelman Département de Statistique et Département de Science Politique, Columbia University, New York En visite à Univer

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

Overview Social and political polarization Background: how many people do you know? Learning from “How many X’s do you know” surveys Conclusions

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Andrew Gelman
• Polarization
• Peter Killworth
• Statistics
• Economic inequality
• Information
• Science
• Data

Overview Background: how many people do you know? A model of overdispersion in social networks Fitting the model using the Gibbs/Metropolis sampler Results from fitting the model Confidence building

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Econometrics
• Andrew Gelman
• Bayesian inference
• Overdispersion
• Confidence interval
• Peter Killworth
• Statistics
• Statistical inference
• Bayesian statistics

Introduction Individual, county, and state-level analyses Multilevel models of individuals within states Understanding the results A trip to Mexico

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Statistical models
• Political science
• Psychology
• Multilevel model
• Statistics
• Andrew Gelman
• Behavioural sciences

Overview Social and political polarization Background: how many people do you know? Learning from “How many X’s do you know” surveys Next

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Andrew Gelman
• Peter Killworth
• Economic inequality
• Statistics
• Physics
• British people
• Broadcast engineering
• Electromagnetic radiation
• Polarization

Overview Graphical models and Bayesian data analysis Computing like a Bayesian BUGS and features Conclusion

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Andrew Gelman
• Just another Gibbs sampler
• Statistics
• Bayesian statistics
• Graphical model

(1) Information aggregation—a statistical perspective (2) Distinctions between different scenarios of group decision-making Andrew Gelman, Roger Clemen, Roger Cooke, Jim Hammitt, David

Source URL: www.stat.columbia.edu

• Bias
• Econometrics
• Regression analysis
• Bias of an estimator
• Linear regression
• Statistics
• Statistical theory
• Estimation theory