September 29, 2017 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE For more information, contact: Barbara Hollander, SAMA-Altoona CoordinatorTravis Mearns, Public Relations Coordinator

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June 21, 2017 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE For more information, contact: Glenda Forosisky, Gala ChairTravis Mearns, Public Relations Coordinator

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NCAR Initiative on Weather and Climate Assessment Science Linda O. Mearns Doug Nychka and Jerry Meehl (acting co-directors)

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• Epistemology
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
• United Nations Environment Programme
• World Meteorological Organization
• Uncertainty
• Academia
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Toward A Central Focus on Decision-Making in the Assessment Initiative Co-Investigators: NCAR-ESIG: Susanne Moser, Lisa Dilling, Linda Mearns Background One of the integrative activities of the Assessment Initiative (AI)

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13 Climate Scenario Development Co-ordinating Lead Authors L.O. Mearns, M. Hulme Lead Authors

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Introduction to the NCAR Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science (WCIAS) Initiative L. O. Mearns Climate and weather create hazards and opportunities for society at multiple scales. The practice of identifying and

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Title : Probabilistic assessment of regional climate change: a Bayesian approach to combining predictions from multi-model ensembles (joint work with R. W. Smith (UNC-Chapel Hill) and D. Nychka and L. O. Mearns (NCAR)) A

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3 Developing and Applying Scenarios TIMOTHY R. CARTER (FINLAND) AND EMILIO L. LA ROVERE (BRAZIL) Lead Authors: R.N. Jones (Australia), R. Leemans (The Netherlands), L.O. Mearns (USA),

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• Global warming
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• Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
• IPCC Third Assessment Report
• Current sea level rise
• Global climate model
• Adaptation to global warming
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• Climate change
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3 Developing and Applying Scenarios TIMOTHY R. CARTER (FINLAND) AND EMILIO L. LA ROVERE (BRAZIL) Lead Authors: R.N. Jones (Australia), R. Leemans (The Netherlands), L.O. Mearns (USA),

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