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Predictable Recoveries Xiaoming Cai, Wouter J. Den Haan, and Jonathan Pinder∗ January 22, 2016 Abstract A random walk with drift is a good univariate representation of US GDP. This
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Predictable Recoveries Xiaoming Cai, Wouter J. Den Haan, and Jonathan Pinder∗ January 22, 2016 Abstract A random walk with drift is a good univariate representation of US GDP. This