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Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions versus Expectations * David Rothschild Microsoft Research and Applied Statistics Center, Columbia [removed]
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Document Date: 2013-06-27 13:36:39

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File Size: 1,39 MB

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City

Johns Hopkins / /

Company

ANES 6 / Dole / Ford / Microsoft / /

Country

Columbia / /

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Event

Polls Result / /

Facility

University of Michigan Brookings / NBER Summer Institute / Applied Statistics Center / /

IndustryTerm

online survey panels / mass media / social networks / /

MedicalCondition

cut / /

Organization

UCLA / University of Pennsylvania / Cornell / MIT / Harvard / Congressional Budget Office / CESifo / Applied Statistics Center / Senate / UCSD / NBER / University of Michigan Brookings / CEPR / IZA / Council of Economic Advisers / Economics and Ford School of Public Policy / Electoral College / /

Person

George W. Bush / Rick Perry / Frank Newport / Rick Santorum / Clinton / Expectation / Sunshine Hillygus / Donald Trump / Justin Wolfers / Stephen Coate / Mat McCubbins / Andrew Gelman / Marc Meredith / Alex Gelber / Nixon / Reagan / Herman Cain / John Kerry / David Rothschild / Barack Obama / Mitt Romney / /

/

PoliticalEvent

Presidential Races / Senate races / Republican primary / Presidential election / Democratic vote / Presidential elections / a few Primary / /

Position

President / representative / /

ProvinceOrState

Minnesota / Maryland / Michigan / Pennsylvania / /

Technology

simply present two alternative forecasting technologies / /

URL

www.ResearchDMR.com / FiveThirtyEight.com / www.nber.org/~jwolfers / /

SocialTag