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Statistical forecasting / Survey methodology / Time series analysis / Prediction market / Opinion poll / Forecasting / Newspoll / Prediction / Margin of error / Statistics / Sampling / Error


NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES COMPETING APPROACHES TO FORECASTING ELECTIONS: ECONOMIC MODELS, OPINION POLLING AND PREDICTION MARKETS Andrew Leigh
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Document Date: 2013-06-27 13:34:12

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City

Cambridge / /

Company

Callaghan and Co. / Microsoft / /

Country

United States / Australia / United Kingdom / /

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Event

Polls Result / /

Facility

Steinberg-Deitrich Hall / University of Pennsylvania / /

Organization

Andrew Leigh Research School / Coalition government / Australian Labor Party / Wharton School / Zell/Lurie Real Estate Center / University of Pennsylvania / NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH / Howard government / Australian National University / Incumbent Party / /

Person

Andrew Leigh / Betsey Stevenson / Brandon Verblow / Bryan Palmer / Howard Victory / John Quiggin / John Howard / Murray Goot / Lisa Cameron / Mark Crosby / Simon Jackman / Gerard Daffy (Centrebet) / Eric Zitzewitz / Mark Worwood (Centrebet) / Leigh Justin Wolfers / Brett Danaher / David Bednall / Sol Lebovic (Newspoll) / Mark Davies (Betfair) / Arthur D. Miltenberger / Sinclair Davidson / Justin Wolfers / /

PoliticalEvent

Incumbent Party’s Vote / federal elections / federal election / parliamentary election / presidential elections / /

Position

author / correct Prime Minister / /

Product

Galaxy / /

ProgrammingLanguage

J / /

ProvinceOrState

Massachusetts / /

Technology

cellular telephone / forecasting technology / forecasting technologies / /

URL

www.centrebet.com.au / http /

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