Win Probabilities a tour through win probability models for hockey Copyright Alan Ryder, 2004 Hockey Analytics www.HockeyAnalytics.com

Source URL: www.hockeyanalytics.com

J. Quant. Anal. Sports 2016; 12(2): 51–72 Sameer K. Deshpande* and Shane T. Jensen Estimating an NBA player’s impact on his team’s chances of winning

Source URL: www-stat.wharton.upenn.edu

• Estimation theory
• Statistical inference
• Probability distributions
• Regression analysis
• Bayesian inference
• Statistical forecasting
• Linear regression
• Normal distribution
• Win probability

Probability of ALP win, last 7 days Sep 02 Probability of ALP Win

Source URL: jackman.stanford.edu

Probability of ALP Win, last 28 days Aug 12 Centrebet

Source URL: jackman.stanford.edu

Assessing the offensive productivity of NHL players using in-game win probabilities Stephen Pettigrew Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02138 Email:

Source URL: www.sloansportsconference.com

• Corey Perry
• Steven Stamkos
• Sidney Crosby
• Philadelphia Flyers
• National Hockey League
• Win probability added
• Goal

Reward Variance in Markov Chains: A Calculational Approach Tom Verhoeff ∗

Source URL: www.win.tue.nl

• Markov chain
• Probability space
• Random variable
• Variance
• Expected value
• Stochastic process
• Moment
• Statistics
• Probability theory
• Probability and statistics

Honors Class (Foundations of) Informatics Tom Verhoeff Department of Mathematics & Computer Science Software Engineering & Technology www.win.tue.nl/~wstomv/edu/hci

Source URL: www.win.tue.nl

• Philosophy of thermal and statistical physics
• Statistical theory
• Randomness
• Physics
• Probability and statistics
• Entropy
• Thermodynamic entropy
• Information theory
• Thermodynamics

IMPLIED PROBABILITY OF ALP WIN 21 Aug 0918 Sep 0916 Oct 0913 Nov 0911 Dec 09 8 Jan 10 5 Feb 10 5 Mar 10 2 Apr 1030 Apr 1028 May 1025 Jun 1023 Jul 1020 Aug 1017 Sep 1015 Oct 1012 Nov 1010 Dec 10 7 Jan 11 4 Feb 11 4 Mar 1

Source URL: jackman.stanford.edu

Probability of ALP Win, last 28 days Aug 12 Centrebet

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1993 Paper 2 Question 2 Two teams A and B play a match in which the winner is the first team to win n games. If A needs i games to win and B needs j games to win, denote by P(i, j) the probability that A will win. B is

Source URL: www.cl.cam.ac.uk